Fortuna Köln II vs VfL Vichttal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
58
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FVE
2 - 2
SCF
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
SCF
15%
17%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
HUR
75%
14%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
KON
60%
18%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Vichttal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VFL
4 - 0
SPV
87%
9%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 3
VFL
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VFL
7 - 1
GET
91%
7%
3%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KON
3 - 3
VFL
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VFL
0 - 1
SVE
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |