Fortuna Köln II vs Konigsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
48
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
KAP
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
VFL
4 - 0
SCF
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
FVE
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 6
SPV
67%
17%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
SCF
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 0
KON
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 3
KON
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
KON
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
KÖL
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
USC
2 - 3
KON
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |