Fortuna Köln II vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
60
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 0
H05
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
USC
2 - 0
SCF
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPV
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 3
VFL
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
FVE
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
H05
1 - 0
MER
15%
21%
65%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MER
3 - 0
SIE
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
USC
1 - 4
MER
20%
21%
58%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
MER
2 - 2
HUR
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |