Fortuna Köln II vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
36
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPF
2 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SCF
2 - 3
VFL
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BER
3 - 2
SCF
47%
23%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCF
1 - 3
BSC
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FVE
1 - 0
SCF
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPV
5 - 1
H05
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
USC
2 - 2
SPV
29%
21%
51%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 4
MER
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 0
SPF
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VFL
6 - 2
SPV
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |