Fortuna Köln II vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
0 - 0
SCF
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 2
GET
78%
13%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
SCF
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SVE
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
SCF
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 2
SPV
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
3 - 0
HUR
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GET
1 - 3
SPV
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
KON
29%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
5 - 0
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |