Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
VFL
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FVE
2 - 2
SCF
10%
15%
75%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
SCF
15%
17%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
HUR
75%
14%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GET
1 - 2
SCF
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
SIE
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 0
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
SIE
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
4 - 1
KON
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |