SC Fortuna Köln II vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SVD
2 - 1
SCF
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PES
4 - 1
SCF
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 0
BGP
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SVB
0 - 1
SCF
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
DUR
6 - 0
VFL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DUR
3 - 1
SVD
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
DUR
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 0
PES
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 1
DUR
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |