Fortuna Köln II vs Germania Teveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
18
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KON
2 - 1
SCF
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SVE
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
SCF
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
BSC
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GET
1 - 3
SPV
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
GET
1 - 2
USC
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HUR
4 - 1
GET
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GET
0 - 3
SPF
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GET
1 - 1
BFR
24%
22%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |