Fortuna Köln II vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
33
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 4
SCF
31%
22%
48%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
5 - 1
USC
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 0
SCF
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 5
BER
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
BFR
46%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
GET
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KON
2 - 1
BFR
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 4
SVE
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |