SC Fortuna Köln II vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
12º
56
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVE
56%
19%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
4 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
KON
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
SIE
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 0
BER
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VFL
4 - 2
BSC
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 0
SPF
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
BSC
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 1
H05
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |