Fortuna Köln II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
7º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 6
SCF
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
CRO
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 5
BLH
66%
18%
17%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BGP
4 - 3
SCF
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BER
3 - 1
BGP
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
BER
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |