SC Fortuna Köln II vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
12º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PES
2 - 2
SCF
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
3 - 3
BLH
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 3
VFL
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
6 - 2
KON
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BGP
2 - 1
BER
12%
18%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VFL
3 - 2
BGP
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BGP
2 - 2
SPF
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
0 - 2
BGP
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 2
H05
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |