Fortuna Bonn vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
59.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+520%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Bonn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 2
FBO
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FBO
1 - 0
PES
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SVD
3 - 4
FBO
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SHN
1 - 1
FBO
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FBO
2 - 4
SVS
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MER
3 - 3
TOP
65%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MER
4 - 1
TMO
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
SNS
83%
11%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RHE
4 - 3
MER
38%
21%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SKF
2 - 2
MER
46%
21%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |