Fortuna Bonn vs Bornheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Bonn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FBO
1 - 0
BWF
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FVW
1 - 2
FBO
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SKF
1 - 0
FBO
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FBO
1 - 1
TOP
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FBO
2 - 2
RHE
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bornheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOP
3 - 1
BOR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SNS
3 - 2
BOR
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
5 - 1
RHE
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TMO
1 - 2
BOR
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 3
MER
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |