SC Erica vs Bergum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Erica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
HOO
0 - 1
SCE
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SVB
2 - 1
SCE
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCE
0 - 1
HOO
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NIE
1 - 0
SCE
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SCE
3 - 1
ACH
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
GRC
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HOO
2 - 0
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 5
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 0
BER
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BER
3 - 7
NIE
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |