SC Emmen vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
9º
32
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
SCE
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
4 - 2
SCE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
1 - 2
FCC
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ZOF
2 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
LUZ
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LOC
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
ZOF
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PER
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
RSZ
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |