SC Emmen vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
9º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
SCE
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 5
ZUG
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 3
SCE
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
SCE
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
LOC
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
5 - 1
LUZ
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
3 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
ZOF
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUO
3 - 3
LUZ
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |