SC Ell vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
67.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ELL
0 - 3
MON
11%
15%
74%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KOP
3 - 5
ELL
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ELL
0 - 5
JEU
53%
20%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DCE
1 - 1
ELL
17%
18%
66%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UME
7 - 0
ELL
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ERP
0 - 2
LOR
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BOE
1 - 3
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
KEH
1 - 2
LOR
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 1
FCA
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MLI
0 - 0
LOR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |