SC Ell vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DCE
5 - 0
ELL
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ELL
1 - 3
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ORA
2 - 2
ELL
41%
24%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ELL
3 - 2
BBM
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
YBD
2 - 0
ELL
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 2
KEH
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
JEU
2 - 0
LOR
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
JGI
4 - 0
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
LOR
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |