Douai vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ESW
5 - 0
DOU
79%
15%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 2
CRE
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
DOU
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 1
LES
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
DOU
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
SED
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 3
VAL
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
LES
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |