Douai vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
79.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
3 - 2
LOR
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
LOR
5 - 4
MET
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LOR
1 - 2
NAN
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
SED
5 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LOR
0 - 3
LYO
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |