Douai vs Créteil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
DOU
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 1
LES
23%
25%
52%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
DOU
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DOU
0 - 3
STG
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
0 - 0
SED
24%
26%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CRE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
CRE
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
LIL
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROY
6 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |