12 Horas vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 Horas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
8 - 1
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 7
AIM
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
5 - 1
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 3
RIO
10%
15%
74%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
GEB
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GEB
0 - 0
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEB
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
GEB
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GEB
7 - 0
PRS
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |