Tinqueux vs Marnaval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tinqueux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
4 - 0
SCT
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SCT
0 - 4
REI
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
SCT
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 2
SCT
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AUB
7 - 0
SCT
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Marnaval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SCM
0 - 3
LES
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SCM
1 - 3
AUB
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
8 - 0
SCM
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SEN
4 - 1
SCM
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SCM
1 - 3
SED
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |