Tinqueux vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tinqueux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
SCT
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SCT
0 - 1
ARR
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 2
SCT
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AVI
2 - 2
SED
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
2 - 1
AVI
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AVI
4 - 0
FEI
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +3 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVI
3 - 2
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ROY
2 - 0
AVI
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |