SC Covilha U19 vs Ass. Naval 1893 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
9º
7º
27
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPC
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 1
CON
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
SFC
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEI
6 - 0
SPC
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 4
ACV
24%
21%
56%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ass. Naval 1893 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 0
BEI
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ACV
2 - 1
ASN
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASN
2 - 2
UDO
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POM
4 - 1
ASN
28%
22%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ASN
3 - 1
GOU
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |