Camaçariense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camaçariense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
COL
3 - 1
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 0
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 3
CFC
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 3
FLU
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
BAH
1 - 1
IPI
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 1
BAH
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
BAH
3 - 1
ALA
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |