SC Bruhl vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUL
2 - 3
SCB
41%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 4
VEV
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
SCB
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 5
WIL
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCB
3 - 0
FCZ
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |