SC Bruhl vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 6
LOC
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STG
3 - 1
SCB
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
SCB
73%
17%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SCB
3 - 2
WOH
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 0
SCB
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCV
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WOH
0 - 1
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |