Borea Dresden vs FC Grimma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TSV
0 - 3
BDR
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BDR
0 - 1
SAC
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
MEU
4 - 3
BDR
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
FC Grimma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SVG
1 - 2
ROT
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
SVG
0 - 1
AUE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
SVG
33%
24%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SVG
0 - 0
EIL
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SVG
1 - 2
ZWI
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |