Borea Dresden vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MEU
0 - 0
BDR
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BDR
2 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
GER
3 - 1
BDR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BDR
0 - 4
SVD
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BUD
1 - 0
BDR
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 1
HAL
20%
25%
54%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUE
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 2
CHE
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
AUE
0 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
MEU
2 - 1
AUE
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |