SC Bernburg vs Ilsenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 0
SCB
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
SCB
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SVB
0 - 2
SCB
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCB
2 - 1
BAR
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 0
SSV
25%
21%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ilsenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BSV
2 - 0
GWI
64%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
GWI
1 - 2
FCB
17%
19%
64%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GWI
4 - 2
MSC
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
GWI
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GWI
3 - 1
FSV
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |