SC Bernburg vs Fortuna Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+183%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SGR
0 - 0
SCB
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 2
SVB
68%
17%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 3
SCB
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SCB
2 - 2
SVW
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SCB
6 - 0
HSC
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
1 - 0
SVW
27%
21%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 3
FMA
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
GWI
3 - 3
FMA
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
FMA
69%
16%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FMA
3 - 2
SGR
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |