Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
12º
12º
46
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
SCA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SCA
0 - 2
AUS
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
SCA
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 8
SCA
8%
14%
79%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 6
HOL
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
SKA
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 3
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |