Politehnica UTM vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
7º
7º
6
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 10 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 10 |
2º
|
3% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 9 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 9 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 8 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 6 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
0 | 3 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Politehnica UTM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SAX
0 - 4
SHF
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
SAX
4 - 0
FST
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SAX
2 - 0
FLA
79%
13%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
SAX
4 - 0
ISK
62%
19%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SAX
2 - 0
FLA
78%
13%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
MIL
3 - 0
ZIM
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 2
SHF
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SHF
0 - 0
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 3
MIL
14%
19%
67%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |