Savorelli 1937 vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savorelli 1937
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
USO
0 - 1
SAV
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 1
MON
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MED
1 - 0
SAV
37%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAV
0 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOC
1 - 0
SAV
53%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
PIE
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
NUO
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ROZ
4 - 1
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |