Savona vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
SAV
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 2
TUT
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 0
SAV
69%
21%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 2
ANC
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAV
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PON
3 - 1
ASL
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 0
RIM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |