Savona vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 2
SAV
21%
26%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAV
2 - 5
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAV
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
PIS
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
SAV
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 0
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
JMO
3 - 0
ACS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
USP
0 - 2
JMO
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 1
ACS
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GHI
2 - 2
JMO
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |