Savoia 1908 vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
FCS
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
FCS
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
ISC
57%
22%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
PAG
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 1
JUS
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |