Savoia 1908 vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 2
LIC
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
FCS
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
CAV
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AGR
3 - 1
FCS
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LIC
2 - 2
MES
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MES
1 - 0
CAV
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
USV
0 - 1
MES
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |