Savoia 1908 vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
FCS
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCS
24%
24%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCS
5 - 0
AEE
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
NAR
2 - 2
FCS
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
ASD
61%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 1
AGR
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCS
24%
24%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
HYR
2 - 0
GEL
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
GEL
2 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
USB
2 - 0
GEL
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |