SaPa vs EsPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 0
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 0
BK4
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
EBK
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 1
SAP
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 3
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
EsPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SEX
5 - 2
ESP
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
GRI
61%
18%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 4
FCE
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EPS
5 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
EBK
9 - 2
ESP
77%
13%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |