FC Saturn vs Torpedo Vladimir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
12º
4º
14
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 41 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TVE
0 - 2
SAT
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAT
0 - 1
KOL
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LUK
2 - 2
SAT
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAT
3 - 3
ZEN
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ZSP
0 - 2
SAT
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Vladimir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
LUK
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZEN
4 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 2
FKK
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DVO
1 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
NEF
5 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |