FC Saturn vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 0
FKK
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
SAT
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAT
2 - 3
FBK
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 0
SAT
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
AKT
4 - 1
SAT
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
ARS
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
YAR
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 2
KHI
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
TYU
1 - 2
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |