Saturn-2 vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ZVE
1 - 1
KOS
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KOS
1 - 3
MET
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
KOS
3 - 1
NIM
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ZVE
1 - 2
KOS
58%
24%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
KOS
0 - 1
APO
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ORE
4 - 0
MET
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LOK
1 - 1
ORE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
APO
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ORE
5 - 2
FKS
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOK
2 - 0
ORE
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |