Saturn-2 vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
KOS
2 - 0
FKG
16%
24%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
DNE
2 - 1
KOS
63%
23%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 0
KOS
74%
18%
8%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
3 - 0
YEL
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
4 - 3
ORE
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ZNA
1 - 3
AVA
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
AVA
5 - 0
NIM
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 3
AVA
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ZVE
0 - 1
AVA
20%
26%
53%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
4 - 1
FKS
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |