Sassari Torres vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SAS
2 - 0
NAP
27%
28%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
SSM
2 - 3
SAS
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SAS
1 - 0
PRG
13%
24%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAS
36%
28%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 1
USF
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ASL
3 - 2
GRO
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
ASL
64%
24%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASL
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
GEL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SSM
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |