Sassari Torres vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
37%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
ACL
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACP
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
RIM
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |