Sasco II vs Duruji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ACH
4 - 1
SAS
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
SAS
3 - 4
BOR
9%
17%
74%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
SOK
2 - 0
SAS
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
SAS
4 - 3
IBE
11%
16%
72%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
HER
4 - 0
SAS
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
DUR
2 - 1
RUS
74%
15%
11%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
ACH
6 - 1
DUR
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
7 - 1
FGT
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
BOR
6 - 1
DUR
66%
19%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
3 - 1
IVE
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |