Épinal vs Olympique St Quentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
14º
1º
35
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 4
BOB
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
REI
0 - 4
SPI
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
5 - 1
FCS
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
MET
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
REI
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
OLY
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 3
USB
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 2
OLY
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
BRC
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |